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603278.SS$12.58+2.44%
Fair $12.58+0.0%

603278.SS

Shandong Daye Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Metal FabricationShanghai

$12.58

+0.30 (+2.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.58Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-112.5M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603278.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Daye Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

15.7x

↑

ROE

-0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

6.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.68

↑
52-Week Range$13
$9$18

TradingView lightweight chart

603278.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.58Periodo -20.1%
Fair value: $12.58

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.0%

FCF / Net income

22.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.03B · net income $-13.5M · FCF $-301.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.3%+4.3% pts

Operating margin

2.0%+5.3% pts

Net margin

-0.3%+4.6% pts

FCF margin

-6.0%+0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.03B$5.03B$5.10B$5.56B$5.21B
Net Income$-13.5M$-13.5M$-170.2M$95.9M$-255.2M
EBITDA$408.9M$408.9M$246.2M$545.1M$170.4M
EPS-0.04-0.04-0.500.33-0.88
Gross Margin6.3%6.3%2.9%8.2%2.1%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%-1.0%3.5%-3.3%
Net Margin-0.3%-0.3%-3.3%1.7%-4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.681.681.331.031.71
Current Ratio0.800.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-301.5M$-301.5M$-112.5M$343.7M$-319.6M
Returns
ROE-0.7%-0.7%-8.1%4.2%-14.9%
Valuation
P/E———35.91—
EV/EBITDA15.6915.6916.818.7623.74
P/B2.162.161.201.521.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.4%-1.4%-8.3%6.6%—
EPS Growth92.0%92.0%-251.5%137.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.2%

Total return

+28.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.50 → -0.04

Residual

+28.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.