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603309.SS$12.09-3.97%
Fair $12.09+0.0%

603309.SS

Well Lead Medical Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Medical Instruments & SuppliesShanghai

$12.09

-0.50 (-3.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.09Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-9.5M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603309.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Well Lead Medical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

44.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.3x

↑

ROE

4.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$12
$12$16

TradingView lightweight chart

603309.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.09Periodo +41.7%
Fair value: $12.09

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.2%

FCF CAGR

-16.0%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

1.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.63B · net income $76.3M · FCF $124.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.7%+1.5% pts

Operating margin

18.7%+2.9% pts

Net margin

4.7%-7.5% pts

FCF margin

7.6%-7.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.63B$1.63B$1.51B$1.39B$1.36B
Net Income$76.3M$76.3M$219.4M$192.5M$166.6M
EBITDA$239.2M$239.2M$349.5M$319.0M$279.0M
EPS0.260.260.750.660.57
Gross Margin44.7%44.7%44.5%45.9%43.2%
Operating Margin18.7%18.7%17.8%17.8%15.8%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%14.5%13.9%12.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.260.210.15
Current Ratio1.831.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$124.1M$124.1M$-9.5M$-135.4M$209.7M
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%11.6%10.6%9.7%
Valuation
P/E44.7844.7815.3920.6536.84
EV/EBITDA16.2816.2810.2312.7221.52
P/B2.012.011.792.193.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%8.8%1.8%—
EPS Growth-65.3%-65.3%13.6%15.8%—
Dividend Yield7.9%7.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

60.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.07

Spread vs growth

-125.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.30

Spread vs growth

-103.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.09

Spread vs growth

-88.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.5%

Total return

+5.5%

Start / end P/E

16.5x → 46.5x

EPS bridge

0.75 → 0.26

Residual

-118.6%

EPS growth-65.3%
Multiple rerating+181.5%
Dividend+7.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-118.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.