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603353.SS$45.59-3.45%
Fair $45.59+0.0%

603353.SS

Hunan Heshun Petroleum Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailShanghai

$45.59

-1.63 (-3.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $45.59Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $170.8M · quality 71.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 57/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603353.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Heshun Petroleum Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

139.7x

↑

ROE

-1.4%

↓

Gross Margin

6.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$46
$15$59

TradingView lightweight chart

603353.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $45.59Periodo +48.1%
Fair value: $45.59

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.5%

FCF CAGR

+30.8%

FCF margin

6.6%

FCF / Net income

-7.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.58B · net income $-21.6M · FCF $170.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.9%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

-0.1%-3.4% pts

Net margin

-0.8%-3.4% pts

FCF margin

6.6%+4.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.58B$2.58B$2.81B$3.27B$3.99B
Net Income$-21.6M$-21.6M$29.3M$52.2M$103.8M
EBITDA$57.1M$57.1M$135.2M$199.9M$278.9M
EPS-0.12-0.120.170.310.60
Gross Margin6.9%6.9%9.9%9.7%9.9%
Operating Margin-0.1%-0.1%2.5%2.5%3.3%
Net Margin-0.8%-0.8%1.0%1.6%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.060.170.17
Current Ratio3.903.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$170.8M$170.8M$182.4M$69.0M$76.3M
Returns
ROE-1.4%-1.4%1.8%3.2%6.2%
Valuation
P/E——89.5981.1330.32
EV/EBITDA139.67139.6718.8921.8110.60
P/B5.185.181.582.571.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.1%-8.1%-14.1%-18.0%—
EPS Growth-170.6%-170.6%-45.2%-48.3%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +187.9%

Total return

+187.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.17 → -0.12

Residual

+187.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+187.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.