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603373.SS$48.65+9.99%
Fair $48.65+0.0%

603373.SS

Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Security & Protection ServicesShanghai

$48.65

+4.42 (+9.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $48.65Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $183.6M · quality 83.3/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603373.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.2B

P/E

40.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

6.9%

↑

Gross Margin

24.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$49
$32$62

TradingView lightweight chart

603373.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $48.65Periodo +5.3%
Fair value: $48.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.5%

FCF CAGR

+9.3%

FCF margin

7.9%

FCF / Net income

1.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.72B · net income $126.6M · FCF $214.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.1%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

14.0%-0.0% pts

Net margin

4.7%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

7.9%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.72B$2.72B$2.66B$2.48B$2.38B
Net Income$126.6M$126.6M$125.5M$118.3M$113.5M
EBITDA$528.1M$528.1M$510.1M$495.3M$474.5M
EPS1.181.181.171.471.41
Gross Margin24.1%24.1%24.6%24.7%22.9%
Operating Margin14.0%14.0%14.1%14.8%14.0%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%4.7%4.8%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.110.100.15
Current Ratio2.752.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$214.6M$214.6M$183.6M$116.9M$164.2M
Returns
ROE6.9%6.9%7.0%6.9%10.1%
Valuation
P/E40.5440.5424.1332.94—
EV/EBITDA7.367.363.134.97—
P/B2.832.831.692.27—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.2%2.2%6.9%4.4%—
EPS Growth0.9%0.9%-20.4%4.3%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

54.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.32

Spread vs growth

-53.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.22

Spread vs growth

-33.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$8.41

Spread vs growth

-20.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +52.2%

Total return

+52.2%

Start / end P/E

27.7x → 41.2x

EPS bridge

1.17 → 1.18

Residual

+0.4%

EPS growth+0.9%
Multiple rerating+49.1%
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.