StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
603499.SS$17.94-2.71%
Fair $17.94+0.0%

603499.SS

Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersShanghai

$17.94

-0.50 (-2.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.94Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $63.8M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603499.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Sunglow Packaging Technology Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.4B

P/E

52.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.6x

↑

ROE

13.0%

↑

Gross Margin

26.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↓
52-Week Range$18
$14$26

TradingView lightweight chart

603499.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.94Periodo +236.3%
Fair value: $17.94

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.0%

FCF CAGR

+202.4%

FCF margin

15.9%

FCF / Net income

1.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.03B · net income $116.3M · FCF $164.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.3%+9.5% pts

Operating margin

16.0%+11.6% pts

Net margin

11.2%+9.2% pts

FCF margin

15.9%+15.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.03B$1.03B$885.3M$694.1M$663.1M
Net Income$116.3M$116.3M$65.7M$7.7M$13.7M
EBITDA$231.5M$231.5M$169.8M$93.9M$80.6M
EPS0.380.380.220.030.05
Gross Margin26.3%26.3%24.7%19.5%16.8%
Operating Margin16.0%16.0%12.6%5.1%4.4%
Net Margin11.2%11.2%7.4%1.1%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.460.520.53
Current Ratio1.171.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$164.6M$164.6M$63.8M$-7.6M$6.0M
Returns
ROE13.0%13.0%8.0%1.3%2.3%
Valuation
P/E52.7652.7680.45268.75118.00
EV/EBITDA24.5824.5832.9624.5622.53
P/B6.136.136.433.442.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.9%16.9%27.6%4.7%—
EPS Growth72.7%72.7%670.0%-42.9%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

61.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.59

Spread vs growth

11.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

38.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.93

Spread vs growth

34.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.10

Spread vs growth

49.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.0%

Total return

+11.0%

Start / end P/E

74.0x → 47.2x

EPS bridge

0.22 → 0.38

Residual

-26.3%

EPS growth+72.7%
Multiple rerating-36.2%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.