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603610.SS$17.56-0.62%
Fair $17.56+0.0%

603610.SS

Keeson Technology Corporation Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShanghai

$17.56

-0.11 (-0.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.56Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-25.7M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603610.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Keeson Technology Corporation Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.2B

P/E

67.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.6x

↑

ROE

3.4%

↓

Gross Margin

33.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↓
52-Week Range$18
$11$22

TradingView lightweight chart

603610.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.56Periodo -34.9%
Fair value: $17.56

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.03B · net income $104.9M · FCF $-25.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.5%+1.9% pts

Operating margin

9.3%+7.2% pts

Net margin

3.5%+2.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.8%-12.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.03B$3.03B$2.96B$3.10B$2.66B
Net Income$104.9M$104.9M$156.0M$205.7M$28.4M
EBITDA$339.5M$339.5M$374.3M$424.7M$203.4M
EPS0.290.290.440.580.08
Gross Margin33.5%33.5%34.9%36.4%31.6%
Operating Margin9.3%9.3%9.9%9.5%2.1%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%5.3%6.6%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.240.300.32
Current Ratio2.082.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-25.7M$-25.7M$-140.3M$1.1M$298.4M
Returns
ROE3.4%3.4%5.1%6.3%0.9%
Valuation
P/E67.5467.5425.6421.12154.25
EV/EBITDA19.5719.5710.418.9218.40
P/B2.042.041.301.331.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.4%2.4%-4.7%16.5%—
EPS Growth-34.1%-34.1%-24.1%625.0%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

75.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.56

Spread vs growth

-109.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

45.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.89

Spread vs growth

-79.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.04

Spread vs growth

-60.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.5%

Total return

+41.5%

Start / end P/E

28.4x → 60.6x

EPS bridge

0.44 → 0.29

Residual

-38.7%

EPS growth-34.1%
Multiple rerating+113.5%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-38.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.