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603708.SS$9.84-2.86%
Fair $9.84+0.0%

603708.SS

Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShanghai

$9.84

-0.29 (-2.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.84Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $971.5M · quality 64.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603708.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiajiayue Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.3B

P/E

29.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

23.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.72

↑
52-Week Range$10
$10$14

TradingView lightweight chart

603708.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.840Periodo -23.0%
Fair value: $9.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.4%

FCF CAGR

+16.4%

FCF margin

5.4%

FCF / Net income

4.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.96B · net income $200.7M · FCF $971.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.8%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

2.7%+0.3% pts

Net margin

1.1%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

5.4%+2.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.96B$17.96B$18.26B$17.76B$18.18B
Net Income$200.7M$200.7M$132.0M$136.4M$60.1M
EBITDA$1.52B$1.52B$1.52B$1.53B$1.47B
EPS0.320.320.210.220.10
Gross Margin23.8%23.8%23.3%23.9%23.3%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%2.4%2.6%2.4%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%0.7%0.8%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.721.721.881.922.66
Current Ratio0.660.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$971.5M$971.5M$673.8M$1.01B$615.2M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%5.5%5.4%2.9%
Valuation
P/E29.8229.8252.7159.77117.60
EV/EBITDA4.664.665.796.216.00
P/B2.482.482.652.822.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%2.8%-2.3%—
EPS Growth52.4%52.4%-4.5%120.0%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

39.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

12.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.06

Spread vs growth

25.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.70

Spread vs growth

34.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.9%

Total return

-9.9%

Start / end P/E

53.4x → 30.8x

EPS bridge

0.21 → 0.32

Residual

-22.2%

EPS growth+52.4%
Multiple rerating-42.4%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.