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603711.SS$14.31-2.98%
Fair $14.31+0.0%

603711.SS

XIANGPIAOPIAO Food Co.,Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShanghai

$14.31

-0.44 (-2.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.31Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $254.8M · quality 73.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603711.SSLocal privado en este navegador · XIANGPIAOPIAO Food Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.9B

P/E

28.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.9x

↑

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

37.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↓
52-Week Range$14
$12$17

TradingView lightweight chart

603711.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.31Periodo -54.9%
Fair value: $14.31

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.2%

FCF CAGR

-27.1%

FCF margin

8.7%

FCF / Net income

2.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.93B · net income $95.2M · FCF $254.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.1%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-4.1% pts

Net margin

3.3%-3.6% pts

FCF margin

8.7%-12.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.93B$2.93B$3.29B$3.63B$3.13B
Net Income$95.2M$95.2M$253.2M$280.3M$213.9M
EBITDA$326.0M$326.0M$503.1M$540.6M$488.0M
EPS0.230.230.620.680.52
Gross Margin37.1%37.1%38.3%37.5%33.8%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%7.4%7.3%8.0%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%7.7%7.7%6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.190.310.30
Current Ratio2.212.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$254.8M$254.8M$207.9M$315.9M$657.3M
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%7.2%8.4%6.9%
Valuation
P/E28.0628.0625.1924.1227.50
EV/EBITDA13.9113.919.089.388.89
P/B1.701.701.832.021.88
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.0%-11.0%-9.3%15.9%—
EPS Growth-62.9%-62.9%-8.8%30.8%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

76.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.27

Spread vs growth

-139.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.54

Spread vs growth

-109.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.47

Spread vs growth

-89.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.1%

Total return

+7.1%

Start / end P/E

21.9x → 62.2x

EPS bridge

0.62 → 0.23

Residual

-115.9%

EPS growth-62.9%
Multiple rerating+184.3%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-115.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.