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603713.SS$56.28-2.39%
Fair $56.28+0.0%

603713.SS

Milkyway Chemical Supply Chain Service Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsShanghai

$56.28

-1.38 (-2.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $56.28Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $179.0M · quality 28.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603713.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Milkyway Chemical Supply Chain Service Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.9B

P/E

14.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

11.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.24

↑
52-Week Range$56
$48$72

TradingView lightweight chart

603713.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $56.28Periodo +11.9%
Fair value: $56.28

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.2%

FCF / Net income

0.48x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.34B · net income $626.6M · FCF $299.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.5%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

7.8%+0.8% pts

Net margin

4.7%-0.5% pts

FCF margin

2.2%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.34B$13.34B$12.12B$9.75B$11.58B
Net Income$626.6M$626.6M$565.2M$431.3M$605.1M
EBITDA$1.50B$1.50B$1.33B$1.09B$1.10B
EPS3.803.803.262.543.56
Gross Margin11.5%11.5%11.4%11.8%10.9%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%7.4%6.9%7.0%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%4.7%4.4%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.241.241.231.090.85
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$299.1M$299.1M$-165.1M$179.0M$-146.4M
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%13.1%10.7%16.0%
Valuation
P/E14.4314.4315.0819.3533.25
EV/EBITDA9.199.199.3710.5220.04
P/B1.951.951.972.085.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.0%10.0%24.3%-15.7%—
EPS Growth16.6%16.6%28.3%-28.7%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$4.99

Spread vs growth

7.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$6.04

Spread vs growth

6.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9.73

Spread vs growth

6.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.5%

Total return

+13.5%

Start / end P/E

15.5x → 14.8x

EPS bridge

3.26 → 3.80

Residual

-0.7%

EPS growth+16.6%
Multiple rerating-4.1%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.