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603758.SS$10.94-1.08%
Fair $10.94+0.0%

603758.SS

Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$10.94

-0.12 (-1.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.94Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $189.4M · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 603758.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Chongqing Qin'an M&E PLC.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

34.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.3x

↑

ROE

5.8%

↑

Gross Margin

20.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$11
$11$20

TradingView lightweight chart

603758.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.94Periodo -29.6%
Fair value: $10.94

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

-16.2%

FCF margin

14.0%

FCF / Net income

1.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.35B · net income $149.4M · FCF $189.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.7%+0.5% pts

Operating margin

10.9%-5.5% pts

Net margin

11.0%-3.3% pts

FCF margin

14.0%-11.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.35B$1.35B$1.60B$1.74B$1.26B
Net Income$149.4M$149.4M$172.9M$260.7M$181.2M
EBITDA$314.6M$314.6M$361.6M$447.8M$332.8M
EPS0.350.350.400.600.43
Gross Margin20.7%20.7%23.9%27.5%20.2%
Operating Margin10.9%10.9%14.7%19.5%16.4%
Net Margin11.0%11.0%10.8%15.0%14.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.010.00—
Current Ratio2.962.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$189.4M$189.4M$351.5M$169.5M$321.8M
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%7.3%10.1%6.8%
Valuation
P/E34.1934.1919.5718.5221.09
EV/EBITDA13.2913.296.408.487.53
P/B1.821.821.421.861.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%-8.0%37.8%—
EPS Growth-12.5%-12.5%-33.3%39.5%—
Dividend Yield4.9%4.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

40.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.97

Spread vs growth

-53.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.17

Spread vs growth

-39.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.89

Spread vs growth

-30.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.0%

Total return

-13.0%

Start / end P/E

33.3x → 31.3x

EPS bridge

0.40 → 0.35

Residual

+0.8%

EPS growth-12.5%
Multiple rerating-6.2%
Dividend+4.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.