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603777.SS$17.60-2.22%
Fair $17.60+0.0%

603777.SS

Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Grocery StoresShanghai

$17.60

-0.40 (-2.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.60Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $228.9M · quality 69.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -10.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603777.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Laiyifen Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

28.8x

↑

ROE

-10.3%

↓

Gross Margin

30.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↓
52-Week Range$18
$12$22

TradingView lightweight chart

603777.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.60Periodo +46.7%
Fair value: $17.60

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.5%

FCF CAGR

-43.6%

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.82B · net income $-161.0M · FCF $103.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.5%-12.6% pts

Operating margin

-3.9%-6.6% pts

Net margin

-4.2%-6.5% pts

FCF margin

2.7%-10.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.82B$3.82B$3.37B$3.98B$4.38B
Net Income$-161.0M$-161.0M$-75.3M$57.0M$102.0M
EBITDA$210.5M$210.5M$311.1M$508.2M$587.3M
EPS-0.48-0.48-0.230.170.30
Gross Margin30.5%30.5%41.0%42.2%43.1%
Operating Margin-3.9%-3.9%-1.1%1.1%2.6%
Net Margin-4.2%-4.2%-2.2%1.4%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.200.220.29
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$103.6M$103.6M$228.9M$264.0M$576.6M
Returns
ROE-10.3%-10.3%-4.3%3.1%5.6%
Valuation
P/E———77.2970.30
EV/EBITDA28.8228.8215.928.2210.87
P/B3.763.762.882.403.96
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.3%13.3%-15.3%-9.2%—
EPS Growth-108.7%-108.7%-235.3%-43.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +30.6%

Total return

+30.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.23 → -0.48

Residual

+30.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+30.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.