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v0.1
6038.T$908.00-0.22%
Fair $908.00+0.0%

6038.T

IID, Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$908.00

-2.00 (-0.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $908.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 7/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $453.8M · quality 78.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 6038.TLocal privado en este navegador · IID, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.5B

P/E

10.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.0x

↓

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

45.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$908
$856$1059

TradingView lightweight chart

6038.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $908.00Periodo -55.2%
Fair value: $908.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

-10.6%

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

1.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.08B · net income $308.0M · FCF $453.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

45.3%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

7.6%-3.9% pts

Net margin

5.1%-3.0% pts

FCF margin

7.5%-3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.08B$6.08B$6.13B$6.07B$5.57B
Net Income$308.0M$308.0M$163.2M$280.2M$450.8M
EBITDA$685.8M$685.8M$503.3M$643.6M$714.8M
EPS62.6362.6333.3156.1290.81
Gross Margin45.3%45.3%44.9%44.7%45.3%
Operating Margin7.6%7.6%8.6%9.4%11.4%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%2.7%4.6%8.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.180.110.08
Current Ratio4.774.77———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$453.8M$453.8M$751.4M$294.0M$635.1M
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%3.9%6.9%12.0%
Valuation
P/E9.989.9823.0613.768.89
EV/EBITDA1.981.981.782.311.96
P/B0.980.980.900.951.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%0.9%8.9%—
EPS Growth88.0%88.0%-40.6%-38.2%—
Dividend Yield5.1%5.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$80.57

Spread vs growth

79.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$97.49

Spread vs growth

78.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$157.01

Spread vs growth

78.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.8%

Total return

+10.8%

Start / end P/E

25.8x → 14.5x

EPS bridge

33.31 → 62.63

Residual

-38.5%

EPS growth+88.0%
Multiple rerating-43.8%
Dividend+5.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-38.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.