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603800.SS$70.99+7.58%
Fair $70.99+0.0%

603800.SS

Jiangsu Hongtian Technology Co.,Ltd.

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesShanghai

$70.99

+5.00 (+7.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $70.99Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-74.9M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603800.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu Hongtian Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.8B

P/E

591.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

146.1x

↑

ROE

1.8%

↓

Gross Margin

22.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.87

↑
52-Week Range$71
$21$73

TradingView lightweight chart

603800.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $70.99Periodo +350.2%
Fair value: $70.99

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-21.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.8%

FCF / Net income

8.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.08B · net income $14.5M · FCF $126.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.3%+1.3% pts

Operating margin

9.4%-2.2% pts

Net margin

1.3%-3.5% pts

FCF margin

11.8%+13.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.08B$1.08B$1.37B$2.24B$2.19B
Net Income$14.5M$14.5M$117.0M$204.8M$106.4M
EBITDA$103.8M$103.8M$249.7M$420.3M$277.3M
EPS0.070.070.580.990.51
Gross Margin22.3%22.3%23.8%24.2%21.1%
Operating Margin9.4%9.4%14.7%15.6%11.6%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%8.5%9.2%4.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.870.870.990.980.55
Current Ratio1.201.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$126.9M$126.9M$-74.9M$-222.2M$-30.9M
Returns
ROE1.8%1.8%14.3%25.2%10.7%
Valuation
P/E591.58591.5840.4325.9854.31
EV/EBITDA146.14146.1420.1713.3220.26
P/B18.1718.175.786.535.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.5%-21.5%-38.6%2.2%—
EPS Growth-87.9%-87.9%-41.4%94.1%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

348.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.30

Spread vs growth

-436.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

155.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.62

Spread vs growth

-243.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

67.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.28

Spread vs growth

-155.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +218.8%

Total return

+218.8%

Start / end P/E

38.4x → 1014.1x

EPS bridge

0.58 → 0.07

Residual

-2233.5%

EPS growth-87.9%
Multiple rerating+2540.0%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2233.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.