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603801.SS$7.44-2.75%
Fair $7.44+0.0%

603801.SS

Zbom Home Collection Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShanghai

$7.44

-0.21 (-2.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.44Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $215.6M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 603801.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Zbom Home Collection Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

53.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

33.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.25

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$11

TradingView lightweight chart

603801.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.440Periodo -39.6%
Fair value: $7.440

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.36B · net income $204.7M · FCF $-187.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.2%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

6.0%-5.8% pts

Net margin

4.7%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%-11.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.36B$4.36B$5.26B$6.12B$5.39B
Net Income$204.7M$204.7M$385.4M$595.1M$537.3M
EBITDA$453.2M$453.2M$622.2M$815.3M$764.9M
EPS0.450.450.891.361.26
Gross Margin33.2%33.2%36.3%37.1%37.7%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%9.5%12.7%11.8%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%7.3%9.7%10.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.250.250.140.080.13
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-187.3M$-187.3M$215.6M$332.7M$366.5M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%11.3%18.1%18.7%
Valuation
P/E53.1453.1413.2211.8017.00
EV/EBITDA7.397.397.677.8711.52
P/B1.001.001.502.133.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.1%-17.1%-14.0%13.5%—
EPS Growth-49.4%-49.4%-34.6%8.4%—
Dividend Yield7.8%7.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

-63.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

-61.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

-60.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -23.7%

Total return

-23.7%

Start / end P/E

12.2x → 16.5x

EPS bridge

0.89 → 0.45

Residual

-17.5%

EPS growth-49.4%
Multiple rerating+35.4%
Dividend+7.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.