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603808.SS$9.39-5.91%
Fair $9.39+0.0%

603808.SS

Shenzhen Ellassay Fashion Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingShanghai

$9.39

-0.59 (-5.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.39Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $382.7M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603808.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Ellassay Fashion Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

20.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

↓

ROE

6.3%

↑

Gross Margin

66.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$9
$7$11

TradingView lightweight chart

603808.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.390Periodo -33.6%
Fair value: $9.390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

+39.0%

FCF margin

18.2%

FCF / Net income

3.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.86B · net income $164.9M · FCF $520.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.9%+3.1% pts

Operating margin

10.1%+4.9% pts

Net margin

5.8%+4.9% pts

FCF margin

18.2%+10.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.86B$2.86B$3.04B$2.92B$2.39B
Net Income$164.9M$164.9M$-309.5M$105.6M$20.5M
EBITDA$540.3M$540.3M$66.7M$498.9M$355.9M
EPS0.450.45-0.850.290.06
Gross Margin66.9%66.9%67.4%67.8%63.8%
Operating Margin10.1%10.1%5.5%11.0%5.2%
Net Margin5.8%5.8%-10.2%3.6%0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.230.240.26
Current Ratio2.872.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$520.7M$520.7M$341.5M$382.7M$193.9M
Returns
ROE6.3%6.3%-12.4%3.6%0.7%
Valuation
P/E20.8720.87—31.34153.67
EV/EBITDA5.345.3440.496.839.36
P/B1.321.321.111.141.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.9%-5.9%4.1%21.7%—
EPS Growth152.9%152.9%-393.1%383.3%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.83

Spread vs growth

130.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.01

Spread vs growth

135.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.62

Spread vs growth

139.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.1%

Total return

+24.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.85 → 0.45

Residual

+23.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.