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603838.SS$9.33+2.75%
Fair $9.33+0.0%

603838.SS

Guang Dong Sitong Group Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShanghai

$9.33

+0.25 (+2.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.33Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-99.7M · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -9.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603838.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guang Dong Sitong Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-9.1%

↓

Gross Margin

-3.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$9
$5$10

TradingView lightweight chart

603838.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.330Periodo +67.7%
Fair value: $9.330

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-32.6%

FCF / Net income

1.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $356.4M · net income $-81.2M · FCF $-116.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-3.6%-9.1% pts

Operating margin

-16.8%-1.6% pts

Net margin

-22.8%-11.8% pts

FCF margin

-32.6%-28.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$356.4M$356.4M$285.2M$185.8M$237.1M
Net Income$-81.2M$-81.2M$-23.5M$-37.4M$-26.1M
EBITDA$-48.6M$-48.6M$348291.59$-10.7M$6.8M
EPS-0.25-0.25-0.07-0.12-0.08
Gross Margin-3.6%-3.6%7.4%4.2%5.5%
Operating Margin-16.8%-16.8%-10.2%-22.4%-15.2%
Net Margin-22.8%-22.8%-8.2%-20.1%-11.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.01——
Current Ratio6.726.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-116.3M$-116.3M$-99.7M$-14.5M$-10.3M
Returns
ROE-9.1%-9.1%-2.4%-3.8%-2.5%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——4692.81—267.96
P/B3.353.351.692.311.78
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.0%25.0%53.5%-21.6%—
EPS Growth-246.1%-246.1%37.2%-43.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +75.7%

Total return

+75.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.07 → -0.25

Residual

+75.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+75.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.