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603861.SS$17.21+3.52%
Fair $17.21+0.0%

603861.SS

Guangzhou Baiyun Electric Equipment Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShanghai

$17.21

+0.60 (+3.52%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.21Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-273.7M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603861.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Baiyun Electric Equipment Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.3B

P/E

44.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.7x

↑

ROE

5.1%

↓

Gross Margin

19.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.56

↑
52-Week Range$17
$9$23

TradingView lightweight chart

603861.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.65Periodo +44.2%
Fair value: $17.21

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.93B · net income $204.2M · FCF $-336.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.3%+2.4% pts

Operating margin

7.9%+5.7% pts

Net margin

4.1%+3.1% pts

FCF margin

-6.8%-22.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.93B$4.93B$4.99B$4.33B$3.47B
Net Income$204.2M$204.2M$196.3M$109.6M$35.7M
EBITDA$439.7M$439.7M$432.0M$344.3M$196.9M
EPS0.400.400.450.250.08
Gross Margin19.3%19.3%18.5%17.0%16.9%
Operating Margin7.9%7.9%6.3%4.4%2.2%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%3.9%2.5%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.560.560.560.730.78
Current Ratio1.211.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-336.6M$-336.6M$-173.0M$-273.7M$531.7M
Returns
ROE5.1%5.1%5.6%3.8%1.3%
Valuation
P/E44.1344.1318.7638.8897.25
EV/EBITDA23.7423.7411.7417.1126.30
P/B2.212.211.051.481.24
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.1%-1.1%15.1%25.0%—
EPS Growth-11.1%-11.1%80.0%212.5%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

56.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.53

Spread vs growth

-67.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

35.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.85

Spread vs growth

-46.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.98

Spread vs growth

-33.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +92.9%

Total return

+92.9%

Start / end P/E

20.4x → 44.1x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.40

Residual

-12.9%

EPS growth-11.1%
Multiple rerating+116.1%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.