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603877.SS$13.86+10.00%
Fair $13.86+0.0%

603877.SS

Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailShanghai

$13.86

+1.26 (+10.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.86Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $497.7M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 57/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603877.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

35.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.1x

↓

ROE

3.9%

↓

Gross Margin

56.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.32

↓
52-Week Range$14
$12$18

TradingView lightweight chart

603877.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.86Periodo -54.8%
Fair value: $13.86

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.7%

FCF CAGR

+40.7%

FCF margin

6.6%

FCF / Net income

2.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.33B · net income $174.3M · FCF $420.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

56.7%+8.5% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+2.3% pts

Net margin

2.8%+0.6% pts

FCF margin

6.6%+4.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.33B$6.33B$6.80B$7.79B$8.60B
Net Income$174.3M$174.3M$258.5M$421.9M$185.8M
EBITDA$1.03B$1.03B$1.12B$1.24B$949.2M
EPS0.370.370.550.890.39
Gross Margin56.7%56.7%55.2%54.1%48.2%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%8.2%9.8%4.8%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%3.8%5.4%2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.320.320.350.290.34
Current Ratio3.193.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$420.0M$420.0M$497.7M$1.03B$150.7M
Returns
ROE3.9%3.9%5.7%9.3%4.5%
Valuation
P/E35.5435.5426.2718.0946.33
EV/EBITDA7.077.076.546.409.41
P/B1.451.451.511.692.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.9%-6.9%-12.7%-9.4%—
EPS Growth-32.7%-32.7%-38.2%128.2%—
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

49.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.23

Spread vs growth

-82.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.49

Spread vs growth

-64.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.40

Spread vs growth

-53.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.1%

Total return

-11.1%

Start / end P/E

29.0x → 37.5x

EPS bridge

0.55 → 0.37

Residual

-9.5%

EPS growth-32.7%
Multiple rerating+29.0%
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.