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603888.SS$18.84+3.18%
Fair $18.84+0.0%

603888.SS

Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationShanghai

$18.84

+0.58 (+3.18%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.84Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $427.7M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 41/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603888.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.7B

P/E

40.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.0x

↑

ROE

8.8%

↑

Gross Margin

38.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$19
$17$32

TradingView lightweight chart

603888.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.84Periodo -52.7%
Fair value: $18.84

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.8%

FCF CAGR

+1.5%

FCF margin

22.7%

FCF / Net income

1.54x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.23B · net income $329.2M · FCF $506.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.5%+7.5% pts

Operating margin

15.6%+3.8% pts

Net margin

14.7%+2.3% pts

FCF margin

22.7%-2.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.23B$2.23B$2.14B$2.08B$1.94B
Net Income$329.2M$329.2M$233.9M$273.5M$242.2M
EBITDA$475.7M$475.7M$489.2M$331.8M$410.7M
EPS0.490.490.450.410.36
Gross Margin38.5%38.5%38.1%34.3%31.0%
Operating Margin15.6%15.6%16.0%12.3%11.8%
Net Margin14.7%14.7%10.9%13.1%12.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.020.03
Current Ratio3.323.32———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$506.8M$506.8M$-562.4M$427.7M$484.0M
Returns
ROE8.8%8.8%6.7%8.0%7.4%
Valuation
P/E40.0940.0936.0645.5337.93
EV/EBITDA21.9621.9612.5127.7018.49
P/B3.383.382.413.622.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.2%4.2%2.9%7.3%—
EPS Growth8.3%8.3%11.2%12.9%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

50.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.67

Spread vs growth

-42.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.02

Spread vs growth

-24.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.26

Spread vs growth

-12.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.7%

Total return

+6.7%

Start / end P/E

39.4x → 38.6x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.49

Residual

-0.2%

EPS growth+8.3%
Multiple rerating-1.9%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.