Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesShanghai
$21.06
-0.55 (-2.55%)
FCF base 3Y
n/d
n/d CAGR · yield n/d
FCF base 5Y
n/d
n/d base · n/d expected
Precio de entrada
n/d
MOS 24% · confianza 25%
FCF escenarios
weak_data · normalized FCF $226.3M · quality 69.7/100
Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.
SA Score
47/100
C
Piotroski
4/9
balance/quality
Valuation
50/100
+0.0% upside
5Y CAGR
+0.0%
50/100
Data QA
16/100
SEC 0%
Sin guardar todavía.
Market Cap
$10.7B
P/E
33.4x
↑EV/EBITDA
17.1x
↑ROE
10.3%
↑Gross Margin
63.2%
↑Debt/Equity
0.11
↓TradingView lightweight chart
Absolute Values (Left Axis)
Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)
Financial statement dashboard
2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado
Revenue CAGR
+13.2%
FCF CAGR
-31.2%
FCF margin
2.9%
FCF / Net income
0.24x
Latest source
Provider fallback
Margin decomposition
Último año: revenue $2.92B · net income $354.4M · FCF $85.4M
Gross margin
Operating margin
Net margin
FCF margin
| Metric | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | |||||
| Revenue | $2.92B | $2.92B | $3.02B | $2.55B | $2.01B |
| Net Income | $354.4M | $354.4M | $388.1M | $328.9M | $280.2M |
| EBITDA | $588.7M | $588.7M | $589.4M | $502.0M | $417.7M |
| EPS | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.77 | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| Gross Margin | 63.2% | 63.2% | 60.9% | 62.4% | 62.8% |
| Operating Margin | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Net Margin | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.9% |
| Balance Sheet | |||||
| Debt/Equity | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Current Ratio | 1.89 | 1.89 | — | — | — |
| Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | $85.4M | $85.4M | $226.3M | $383.9M | $262.1M |
| Returns | |||||
| ROE | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% |
| Valuation | |||||
| P/E | 33.43 | 33.43 | 24.19 | 36.12 | 47.96 |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.05 | 17.05 | 14.54 | 21.65 | 30.31 |
| P/B | 3.11 | 3.11 | 2.83 | 3.57 | 4.27 |
| Growth & Yield | |||||
| Revenue Growth | -3.4% | -3.4% | 18.6% | 26.6% | — |
| EPS Growth | -9.1% | -9.1% | 18.5% | 18.2% | — |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% | 2.3% | — | — | — |
Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)
Margins (%)
Returns (%)
Leverage & Liquidity
3Y implied EPS CAGR
38.7%
EPS terminal req.
$1.87
Spread vs growth
-47.8%
5Y implied EPS CAGR
26.4%
EPS terminal req.
$2.26
Spread vs growth
-35.5%
10Y implied EPS CAGR
17.9%
EPS terminal req.
$3.64
Spread vs growth
-27.0%
Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.
Total return
+11.6%
Start / end P/E
25.0x → 30.1x
EPS bridge
0.77 → 0.70
Residual
-1.8%
Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.