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603926.SS$20.49+0.49%
Fair $20.49+0.0%

603926.SS

Tieliu Co,.Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$20.49

+0.10 (+0.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.49Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $174.4M · quality 79.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603926.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Tieliu Co,.Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

60.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

22.1x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

16.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$20
$11$28

TradingView lightweight chart

603926.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.49Periodo +17.9%
Fair value: $20.49

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

+22.1%

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

2.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.38B · net income $77.5M · FCF $174.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.8%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

5.3%+0.9% pts

Net margin

3.3%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

7.3%+2.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.38B$2.38B$2.40B$2.20B$2.10B
Net Income$77.5M$77.5M$103.1M$98.3M$83.7M
EBITDA$206.4M$206.4M$239.7M$214.8M$186.3M
EPS0.330.330.450.430.36
Gross Margin16.8%16.8%17.3%16.3%17.0%
Operating Margin5.3%5.3%5.8%4.7%4.3%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%4.3%4.5%4.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.210.190.19
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$174.4M$174.4M$116.7M$215.5M$95.8M
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%6.1%5.9%5.3%
Valuation
P/E60.2660.2618.6227.9125.83
EV/EBITDA22.1022.107.5911.2610.30
P/B2.792.791.141.651.36
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%9.1%4.9%—
EPS Growth-26.7%-26.7%4.7%19.4%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

76.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.82

Spread vs growth

-103.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.20

Spread vs growth

-72.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.54

Spread vs growth

-53.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +47.5%

Total return

+47.5%

Start / end P/E

31.1x → 62.1x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.33

Residual

-26.5%

EPS growth-26.7%
Multiple rerating+99.4%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.