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603956.SS$5.29-5.70%
Fair $5.29+0.0%

603956.SS

WPG (Shanghai) Smart Water Public Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShanghai

$5.29

-0.32 (-5.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.29Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-112.4M · quality 55.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -8.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603956.SSLocal privado en este navegador · WPG (Shanghai) Smart Water Public Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-8.0%

↓

Gross Margin

43.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$5
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

603956.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.290Periodo -82.0%
Fair value: $5.290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.16B · net income $-152.6M · FCF $49.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

43.8%-11.8% pts

Operating margin

-7.8%+1.3% pts

Net margin

-13.2%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

4.2%+26.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.16B$1.16B$1.24B$1.42B$1.06B
Net Income$-152.6M$-152.6M$-211.9M$23.3M$-144.3M
EBITDA$-62.9M$-62.9M$-144.5M$100.0M$-78.1M
EPS-0.28-0.28-0.430.05-0.30
Gross Margin43.8%43.8%43.9%50.1%55.6%
Operating Margin-7.8%-7.8%-14.4%2.2%-9.1%
Net Margin-13.2%-13.2%-17.1%1.6%-13.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.490.230.26
Current Ratio1.681.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$49.1M$49.1M$-281.3M$-112.4M$-232.5M
Returns
ROE-8.0%-8.0%-12.6%1.2%-7.0%
Valuation
P/E———159.20—
EV/EBITDA———34.79—
P/B1.521.521.471.831.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.4%-6.4%-12.5%34.1%—
EPS Growth34.9%34.9%-960.0%116.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.5%

Total return

-21.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.43 → -0.28

Residual

-21.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.