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603967.SS$12.52+4.77%
Fair $12.52+0.0%

603967.SS

China Master Logistics Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsShanghai

$12.52

+0.57 (+4.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.52Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $299.9M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 603967.SSLocal privado en este navegador · China Master Logistics Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.3B

P/E

14.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

10.9%

↑

Gross Margin

7.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$13
$11$15

TradingView lightweight chart

603967.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.52Periodo -42.3%
Fair value: $12.52

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.3%

FCF CAGR

+52.5%

FCF margin

6.7%

FCF / Net income

2.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.85B · net income $260.8M · FCF $589.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.2%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

4.8%+2.0% pts

Net margin

2.9%+0.9% pts

FCF margin

6.7%+5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.85B$8.85B$11.84B$7.40B$11.86B
Net Income$260.8M$260.8M$252.7M$240.2M$243.8M
EBITDA$598.9M$598.9M$586.1M$531.9M$526.9M
EPS0.750.750.730.690.70
Gross Margin7.2%7.2%5.2%7.5%4.4%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%3.3%4.7%2.8%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%2.1%3.2%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.240.190.23
Current Ratio2.212.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$589.4M$589.4M$299.9M$-8.9M$166.1M
Returns
ROE10.9%10.9%10.7%10.6%11.1%
Valuation
P/E14.9014.9013.1014.9614.09
EV/EBITDA6.666.665.606.716.24
P/B1.821.821.401.581.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-25.2%-25.2%60.0%-37.6%—
EPS Growth2.7%2.7%5.8%-1.4%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

-11.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

-9.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.16

Spread vs growth

-8.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.5%

Total return

+8.5%

Start / end P/E

16.6x → 16.7x

EPS bridge

0.73 → 0.75

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth+2.7%
Multiple rerating+0.5%
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.