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603999.SS$6.12+2.86%
Fair $6.12+0.0%

603999.SS

DuZhe Publish&Media Co.,Ltd

Communication Services / PublishingShanghai

$6.12

+0.17 (+2.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.12Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $145.1M · quality 78.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 72/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 603999.SSLocal privado en este navegador · DuZhe Publish&Media Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

38.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.6x

↑

ROE

4.1%

↓

Gross Margin

27.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

603999.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.120Periodo +4.4%
Fair value: $6.120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.2%

FCF CAGR

+4.1%

FCF margin

9.3%

FCF / Net income

0.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $903.6M · net income $85.5M · FCF $84.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%+11.3% pts

Operating margin

8.7%+3.8% pts

Net margin

9.5%+2.8% pts

FCF margin

9.3%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$903.6M$903.6M$966.5M$1.29B$1.29B
Net Income$85.5M$85.5M$62.3M$98.2M$85.9M
EBITDA$109.3M$109.3M$107.9M$97.7M$111.2M
EPS0.150.150.110.170.15
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%25.1%18.0%15.9%
Operating Margin8.7%8.7%7.4%4.6%4.9%
Net Margin9.5%9.5%6.4%7.6%6.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio4.124.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$84.3M$84.3M$145.1M$189.8M$74.8M
Returns
ROE4.1%4.1%3.1%5.0%4.6%
Valuation
P/E38.2538.2552.0040.1837.93
EV/EBITDA24.5824.5819.3229.7520.97
P/B1.691.691.632.021.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.5%-6.5%-25.3%0.2%—
EPS Growth36.4%36.4%-35.3%13.3%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-17.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

2.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.06

Spread vs growth

14.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.2%

Total return

-1.2%

Start / end P/E

56.6x → 40.8x

EPS bridge

0.11 → 0.15

Residual

-10.2%

EPS growth+36.4%
Multiple rerating-28.0%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.