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605001.SS$6.52+2.03%
Fair $6.52+0.0%

605001.SS

Qingdao Victall Railway Co., Ltd.

Industrials / RailroadsShanghai

$6.52

+0.13 (+2.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.52Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-145.9M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 605001.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Qingdao Victall Railway Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

31.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.9x

↑

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

29.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$7
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

605001.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.520Periodo -63.5%
Fair value: $6.520

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.78B · net income $85.9M · FCF $-164.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.8%+12.9% pts

Operating margin

8.8%+17.6% pts

Net margin

4.8%+19.1% pts

FCF margin

-9.2%+13.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.78B$1.78B$1.53B$1.18B$796.9M
Net Income$85.9M$85.9M$55.4M$256.4M$-113.7M
EBITDA$280.9M$280.9M$243.2M$391.2M$-19.5M
EPS0.220.220.140.65-0.29
Gross Margin29.8%29.8%28.8%32.5%17.0%
Operating Margin8.8%8.8%5.4%6.4%-8.8%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%3.6%21.7%-14.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.470.520.53
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-164.5M$-164.5M$48.6M$-145.9M$-177.6M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%2.1%9.3%-4.6%
Valuation
P/E31.0531.0542.9310.25—
EV/EBITDA12.8612.8613.108.93—
P/B0.940.940.870.951.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.8%16.8%29.5%48.0%—
EPS Growth57.1%57.1%-78.5%324.1%—
Dividend Yield4.6%4.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

38.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.58

Spread vs growth

19.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

26.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.70

Spread vs growth

31.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.13

Spread vs growth

39.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.0%

Total return

-3.0%

Start / end P/E

50.4x → 29.6x

EPS bridge

0.14 → 0.22

Residual

-23.6%

EPS growth+57.1%
Multiple rerating-41.2%
Dividend+4.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.