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605009.SS$25.52-2.15%
Fair $25.52+0.0%

605009.SS

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsShanghai

$25.52

-0.56 (-2.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $25.52Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-63.8M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 605009.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

24.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↑

ROE

6.8%

↑

Gross Margin

31.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$26
$25$53

TradingView lightweight chart

605009.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $25.52Periodo -40.6%
Fair value: $25.52

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-8.6%

FCF / Net income

-1.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.76B · net income $232.0M · FCF $-324.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.5%+8.4% pts

Operating margin

8.0%-6.3% pts

Net margin

6.2%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

-8.6%-15.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.76B$3.76B$2.93B$2.76B$2.80B
Net Income$232.0M$232.0M$387.5M$438.6M$422.9M
EBITDA$465.5M$465.5M$610.7M$643.8M$558.8M
EPS1.081.081.802.031.92
Gross Margin31.5%31.5%27.9%26.9%23.2%
Operating Margin8.0%8.0%15.2%16.6%14.3%
Net Margin6.2%6.2%13.2%15.9%15.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.110.110.00
Current Ratio1.681.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-324.7M$-324.7M$-63.8M$502.4M$190.1M
Returns
ROE6.8%6.8%11.7%13.6%14.0%
Valuation
P/E24.3024.3015.4013.2618.59
EV/EBITDA11.5411.548.126.0410.67
P/B1.601.601.811.812.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth28.2%28.2%6.3%-1.6%—
EPS Growth-40.0%-40.0%-11.3%5.6%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.26

Spread vs growth

-68.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.74

Spread vs growth

-60.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.41

Spread vs growth

-55.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -41.0%

Total return

-41.0%

Start / end P/E

26.1x → 23.6x

EPS bridge

1.80 → 1.08

Residual

+3.7%

EPS growth-40.0%
Multiple rerating-9.4%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.