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605188.SS$14.31+2.66%
Fair $14.31+0.0%

605188.SS

Jiangxi Guoguang Commercial Chains Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShanghai

$14.31

+0.38 (+2.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.31Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $110.8M · quality 62.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 52/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 605188.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangxi Guoguang Commercial Chains Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.2B

P/E

357.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

46.5x

↑

ROE

1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

21.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$14
$10$28

TradingView lightweight chart

605188.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.69Periodo +119.3%
Fair value: $14.31

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.8%

FCF CAGR

+4.0%

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

7.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.82B · net income $15.7M · FCF $110.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%-4.1% pts

Operating margin

1.6%-0.3% pts

Net margin

0.6%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

3.9%-0.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.82B$2.82B$2.69B$2.41B$2.25B
Net Income$15.7M$15.7M$2.7M$14.5M$18.8M
EBITDA$160.1M$160.1M$149.8M$169.6M$169.1M
EPS0.030.030.010.030.04
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%22.3%24.9%25.6%
Operating Margin1.6%1.6%0.8%1.3%1.9%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%0.1%0.6%0.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.570.600.57
Current Ratio1.161.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$110.8M$110.8M$-12.8M$172.1M$98.5M
Returns
ROE1.3%1.3%0.2%1.3%1.7%
Valuation
P/E357.75357.751309.26300.68235.75
EV/EBITDA46.5346.5323.2825.5726.39
P/B5.985.983.133.924.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.8%4.8%11.4%7.2%—
EPS Growth477.8%477.8%-81.6%-26.8%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

244.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.27

Spread vs growth

233.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

118.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.54

Spread vs growth

359.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

54.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.47

Spread vs growth

422.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.4%

Total return

+0.4%

Start / end P/E

2711.1x → 470.8x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.03

Residual

-394.8%

EPS growth+477.8%
Multiple rerating-82.6%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-394.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.