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605228.SS$12.74-1.55%
Fair $12.74+0.0%

605228.SS

Shentong Technology Group Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShanghai

$12.74

-0.20 (-1.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.74Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $151.4M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 605228.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Shentong Technology Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.1B

P/E

33.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

16.5x

↑

ROE

7.8%

↑

Gross Margin

23.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↓
52-Week Range$13
$10$21

TradingView lightweight chart

605228.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.74Periodo +50.2%
Fair value: $12.74

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.1%

FCF / Net income

1.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.88B · net income $133.0M · FCF $189.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.2%+3.7% pts

Operating margin

10.5%+6.1% pts

Net margin

7.1%+3.9% pts

FCF margin

10.1%+16.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.88B$1.88B$1.39B$1.64B$1.43B
Net Income$133.0M$133.0M$-32.0M$54.8M$45.0M
EBITDA$311.2M$311.2M$99.7M$178.1M$124.4M
EPS0.310.31-0.080.130.11
Gross Margin23.2%23.2%18.5%19.4%19.5%
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%2.2%5.9%4.4%
Net Margin7.1%7.1%-2.3%3.3%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.390.410.04
Current Ratio2.762.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$189.7M$189.7M$-120.5M$151.4M$-92.8M
Returns
ROE7.8%7.8%-2.1%3.5%3.1%
Valuation
P/E33.5333.53—86.6979.45
EV/EBITDA16.4516.4540.3524.2027.08
P/B3.223.222.833.012.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth35.7%35.7%-15.2%14.6%—
EPS Growth487.5%487.5%-161.5%18.2%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.13

Spread vs growth

433.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.37

Spread vs growth

452.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.20

Spread vs growth

465.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.6%

Total return

+12.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.08 → 0.31

Residual

+11.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+11.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.