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605388.SS$5.84-0.48%
Fair $5.84+0.0%

605388.SS

Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicShanghai

$5.84

-0.03 (-0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.84Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-55.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -12.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 605388.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Juneyao Grand Healthy DrinksCo.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-12.4%

↓

Gross Margin

27.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$12

TradingView lightweight chart

605388.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.170Periodo -68.1%
Fair value: $5.840

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.1%

FCF / Net income

0.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.33B · net income $-190.2M · FCF $-27.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.7%-7.9% pts

Operating margin

-9.4%-16.7% pts

Net margin

-14.3%-22.1% pts

FCF margin

-2.1%+42.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.33B$1.33B$1.46B$1.63B$986.1M
Net Income$-190.2M$-190.2M$-29.1M$57.6M$76.7M
EBITDA$-184.5M$-184.5M$45.8M$132.5M$122.4M
EPS-0.32-0.32-0.050.100.13
Gross Margin27.7%27.7%30.3%24.4%35.6%
Operating Margin-9.4%-9.4%1.6%4.7%7.4%
Net Margin-14.3%-14.3%-2.0%3.5%7.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.010.000.01
Current Ratio2.272.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-27.6M$-27.6M$-55.8M$-92.9M$-436.4M
Returns
ROE-12.4%-12.4%-1.6%3.0%4.0%
Valuation
P/E———119.50114.80
EV/EBITDA——69.8748.2466.52
P/B2.272.271.933.554.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.7%-8.7%-10.8%65.7%—
EPS Growth-540.0%-540.0%-150.0%-22.2%—
Dividend Yield1.3%1.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.6%

Total return

-2.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.05 → -0.32

Residual

-3.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.