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605577.SS$10.59-1.94%
Fair $10.59+0.0%

605577.SS

Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / PublishingShanghai

$10.59

-0.21 (-1.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.59Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $294.5M · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 605577.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Heilongjiang Publishing & Media Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

19.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

5.7%

↑

Gross Margin

41.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$11
$10$16

TradingView lightweight chart

605577.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.59Periodo +22.7%
Fair value: $10.59

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.6%

FCF CAGR

+2.1%

FCF margin

19.4%

FCF / Net income

1.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.52B · net income $224.1M · FCF $294.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.6%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

11.2%-14.9% pts

Net margin

14.8%-11.7% pts

FCF margin

19.4%+4.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.52B$1.52B$1.66B$1.90B$1.81B
Net Income$224.1M$224.1M$201.3M$348.2M$477.9M
EBITDA$337.5M$337.5M$358.8M$404.5M$582.6M
EPS0.500.500.450.781.08
Gross Margin41.6%41.6%43.8%44.3%43.2%
Operating Margin11.2%11.2%11.9%14.7%26.1%
Net Margin14.8%14.8%12.1%18.3%26.5%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.394.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$294.5M$294.5M$210.3M$314.1M$276.7M
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%5.4%9.7%14.0%
Valuation
P/E19.6119.6129.3627.619.40
EV/EBITDA6.986.9810.2418.314.76
P/B1.211.211.592.691.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.8%-8.8%-12.5%5.3%—
EPS Growth11.3%11.3%-42.2%-27.1%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.94

Spread vs growth

-11.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.14

Spread vs growth

-6.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.83

Spread vs growth

-2.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.7%

Total return

-15.7%

Start / end P/E

28.2x → 21.0x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.50

Residual

-2.9%

EPS growth+11.3%
Multiple rerating-25.5%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.