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605588.SS$54.35-3.38%
Fair $54.35+0.0%

605588.SS

Keystone Technology Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsShanghai

$54.35

-1.90 (-3.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $54.35Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-448.0M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 605588.SSLocal privado en este navegador · Keystone Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

85.2x

↑

ROE

-7.3%

↓

Gross Margin

5.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.29

↑
52-Week Range$54
$44$69

TradingView lightweight chart

605588.SS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $54.35Periodo +37.7%
Fair value: $54.35

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-16.3%

FCF / Net income

3.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.37B · net income $-70.3M · FCF $-222.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.4%-9.4% pts

Operating margin

-2.4%-9.7% pts

Net margin

-5.1%-12.5% pts

FCF margin

-16.3%-17.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.37B$1.37B$1.36B$894.4M$1.11B
Net Income$-70.3M$-70.3M$-15.5M$52.2M$81.6M
EBITDA$57.2M$57.2M$27.2M$90.9M$116.8M
EPS-0.96-0.96-0.210.711.12
Gross Margin5.4%5.4%10.7%15.8%14.9%
Operating Margin-2.4%-2.4%1.5%6.1%7.2%
Net Margin-5.1%-5.1%-1.1%5.8%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.291.291.250.400.08
Current Ratio1.211.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-222.1M$-222.1M$-601.9M$-448.0M$9.6M
Returns
ROE-7.3%-7.3%-1.5%5.0%8.1%
Valuation
P/E———72.3926.31
EV/EBITDA85.1685.16126.3241.7315.19
P/B4.114.112.733.592.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.4%0.4%51.9%-19.3%—
EPS Growth-357.1%-357.1%-129.6%-36.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.7%

Total return

+10.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.21 → -0.96

Residual

+10.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.