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v0.1
6161.T$1027.00-0.48%
Fair $1027.00+0.0%

6161.T

Estic Corporation

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$1027.00

-5.00 (-0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1027.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $360.0M · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6161.TLocal privado en este navegador · Estic Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.2B

P/E

8.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.8x

↓

ROE

11.4%

↑

Gross Margin

46.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1027
$880$1126

TradingView lightweight chart

6161.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,027Periodo -71.1%
Fair value: $1,027

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.1%

FCF CAGR

+27.9%

FCF margin

25.1%

FCF / Net income

1.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.88B · net income $1.18B · FCF $1.98B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

46.5%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

20.8%+1.3% pts

Net margin

15.0%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

25.1%+8.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.88B$7.88B$7.13B$6.72B$5.75B
Net Income$1.18B$1.18B$1.13B$1.08B$820.2M
EBITDA$1.82B$1.82B$1.64B$1.60B$1.31B
EPS118.73118.73113.99108.6982.67
Gross Margin46.5%46.5%46.2%47.1%44.8%
Operating Margin20.8%20.8%20.9%22.1%19.5%
Net Margin15.0%15.0%15.9%16.1%14.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.00
Current Ratio8.828.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.98B$1.98B$-325.7M$360.0M$945.1M
Returns
ROE11.4%11.4%12.3%13.1%11.4%
Valuation
P/E8.808.808.208.2814.32
EV/EBITDA3.783.784.744.227.40
P/B0.980.981.001.091.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.6%10.6%6.1%16.8%—
EPS Growth4.2%4.2%4.9%31.5%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$91.13

Spread vs growth

12.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$110.27

Spread vs growth

5.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$177.58

Spread vs growth

0.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +19.4%

Total return

+19.4%

Start / end P/E

7.7x → 8.6x

EPS bridge

113.99 → 118.73

Residual

+0.5%

EPS growth+4.2%
Multiple rerating+11.8%
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.