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v0.1
6168.HK$17.67+1.49%
Fair $17.67+0.0%

6168.HK

Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd.

Unknown / UnknownHKSE

$17.67

+0.26 (+1.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $17.67Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $53.8M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6168.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Zhou Liu Fu Jewellery Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.7B

P/E

8.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.2x

↓

ROE

18.1%

↑

Gross Margin

27.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$18
$16$58

TradingView lightweight chart

6168.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $17.67Periodo -41.1%
Fair value: $17.67

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.83B · net income $770.3M · FCF $-201.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.5%-11.2% pts

Operating margin

17.0%-6.2% pts

Net margin

13.2%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

-3.5%-2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.83B$5.83B$5.72B$5.15B$3.10B
Net Income$770.3M$770.3M$706.3M$659.7M$575.2M
EBITDA$1.05B$1.05B$961.4M$889.4M$785.9M
EPS1.881.881.661.551.35
Gross Margin27.5%27.5%25.9%26.2%38.7%
Operating Margin17.0%17.0%15.9%15.5%23.2%
Net Margin13.2%13.2%12.4%12.8%18.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.280.050.02
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-201.7M$-201.7M$53.8M$370.3M$-41.7M
Returns
ROE18.1%18.1%27.4%29.1%30.2%
Valuation
P/E8.118.11———
EV/EBITDA6.236.23———
P/B1.711.71———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.0%2.0%11.0%66.0%—
EPS Growth13.3%13.3%7.1%14.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.57

Spread vs growth

19.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.90

Spread vs growth

13.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.06

Spread vs growth

8.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -41.1%

Total return

-41.1%

Start / end P/E

18.1x → 9.4x

EPS bridge

1.66 → 1.88

Residual

-6.4%

EPS growth+13.3%
Multiple rerating-48.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.