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6185.T$377.00-1.05%
Fair $377.00+0.0%

6185.T

SMN Corporation

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$377.00

-4.00 (-1.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $377.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $76.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6185.TLocal privado en este navegador · SMN Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

12.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

7.3%

↑

Gross Margin

20.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$377
$373$520

TradingView lightweight chart

6185.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $377.00Periodo -66.5%
Fair value: $377.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.5%

FCF CAGR

+60.7%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

3.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.64B · net income $291.7M · FCF $888.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.4%-3.0% pts

Operating margin

2.1%+1.1% pts

Net margin

2.5%+4.2% pts

FCF margin

7.6%+6.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11.64B$11.64B$9.34B$11.44B$13.36B
Net Income$291.7M$291.7M$-1.03B$-117.1M$-228.6M
EBITDA$890.3M$890.3M$-186.8M$813.7M$778.8M
EPS20.0320.03-70.79-8.30-17.44
Gross Margin20.4%20.4%27.8%22.8%23.4%
Operating Margin2.1%2.1%1.1%0.2%1.0%
Net Margin2.5%2.5%-11.0%-1.0%-1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.340.310.39
Current Ratio2.492.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$888.7M$888.7M$56.7M$76.4M$214.1M
Returns
ROE7.3%7.3%-28.1%-2.5%-5.2%
Valuation
P/E12.6712.67———
EV/EBITDA3.473.47—6.419.62
P/B1.381.381.431.351.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth24.7%24.7%-18.4%-14.4%—
EPS Growth128.3%128.3%-752.9%52.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

18.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$33.45

Spread vs growth

109.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$40.48

Spread vs growth

113.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$65.19

Spread vs growth

115.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.3%

Total return

-13.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-70.79 → 20.03

Residual

-13.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.