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6186.T$374.00+0.00%
Fair $374.00+0.0%

6186.T

Ichikura Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Personal ServicesTokyo

$374.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $374.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $699.1M · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6186.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ichikura Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

5.4x

↓

ROE

-2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

63.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.36

↑
52-Week Range$374
$368$417

TradingView lightweight chart

6186.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $374.00Periodo -66.6%
Fair value: $374.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

-31.8%

FCF margin

2.8%

FCF / Net income

-5.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.93B · net income $-96.9M · FCF $548.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

63.3%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

0.6%-2.1% pts

Net margin

-0.5%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

2.8%-6.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$19.93B$19.93B$20.43B$19.75B$18.57B
Net Income$-96.9M$-96.9M$629.3M$597.3M$617.0M
EBITDA$603.9M$603.9M$868.7M$1.10B$1.05B
EPS-17.58-17.58114.13108.32111.91
Gross Margin63.3%63.3%61.5%61.4%61.5%
Operating Margin0.6%0.6%1.3%2.8%2.7%
Net Margin-0.5%-0.5%3.1%3.0%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.361.361.261.381.59
Current Ratio0.830.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$548.9M$548.9M$699.1M$1.06B$1.73B
Returns
ROE-2.2%-2.2%13.9%15.0%18.1%
Valuation
P/E——4.955.633.12
EV/EBITDA5.415.414.654.012.54
P/B0.470.470.690.840.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.4%-2.4%3.5%6.4%—
EPS Growth-115.4%-115.4%5.4%-3.2%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.7%

Total return

+3.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

114.13 → -17.58

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.