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6190.T$411.00-2.84%
Fair $411.00+0.0%

6190.T

PhoenixBio Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$411.00

-12.00 (-2.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $411.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-105.3M · quality 42.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -32.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6190.TLocal privado en este navegador · PhoenixBio Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.7B

P/E

13.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-32.9%

↓

Gross Margin

72.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.41

↑
52-Week Range$411
$362$724

TradingView lightweight chart

6190.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $411.00Periodo -85.6%
Fair value: $411.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.8%

FCF / Net income

0.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.54B · net income $-448.9M · FCF $-105.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

72.5%+17.6% pts

Operating margin

-9.2%+3.4% pts

Net margin

-29.1%+0.2% pts

FCF margin

-6.8%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.54B$1.54B$1.72B$2.12B$1.32B
Net Income$-448.9M$-448.9M$26.4M$493.3M$-388.0M
EBITDA$-399.4M$-399.4M$87.9M$537.4M$-305.8M
EPS-110.99-110.996.9897.29-117.50
Gross Margin72.5%72.5%69.7%73.3%54.9%
Operating Margin-9.2%-9.2%0.6%23.9%-12.7%
Net Margin-29.1%-29.1%1.5%23.2%-29.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.410.410.400.751.25
Current Ratio4.414.41———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-105.3M$-105.3M$-118.1M$265.1M$9.6M
Returns
ROE-32.9%-32.9%1.5%32.6%-46.8%
Valuation
P/E13.3513.3569.485.88—
EV/EBITDA——13.342.82—
P/B1.221.221.021.282.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.1%-10.1%-19.2%60.3%—
EPS Growth-1690.1%-1690.1%-92.8%182.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.0%

Total return

+9.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

6.98 → -110.99

Residual

+9.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.