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6195.T$212.00-0.93%
Fair $212.00+0.0%

6195.T

Hope, Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$212.00

-2.00 (-0.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $212.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $127.4M · quality 49.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6195.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hope, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

11.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

31.0%

↑

Gross Margin

60.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$212
$184$269

TradingView lightweight chart

6195.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $212.00Periodo -66.3%
Fair value: $212.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2025 · 4 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-45.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.2%

FCF / Net income

0.54x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.14B · net income $358.0M · FCF $193.5M

2021-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.0%+76.9% pts

Operating margin

9.3%+29.2% pts

Net margin

11.4%+31.6% pts

FCF margin

6.2%+14.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.14B$3.14B$2.55B$2.16B$34.62B
Net Income$358.0M$358.0M$261.9M$5.03B$-6.98B
EBITDA$431.0M$431.0M$248.2M$5.04B$-6.91B
EPS22.3522.3515.93399.71-1109.09
Gross Margin60.0%60.0%56.3%55.6%-16.9%
Operating Margin9.3%9.3%8.9%8.4%-19.9%
Net Margin11.4%11.4%10.3%233.1%-20.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.201.07-0.76
Current Ratio0.600.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$193.5M$193.5M$127.4M$86.6M$-2.87B
Returns
ROE31.0%31.0%26.1%677.7%279.3%
Valuation
P/E11.7511.7512.620.85—
EV/EBITDA5.945.949.990.71—
P/B2.942.943.295.76—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth23.0%23.0%18.4%-93.8%—
EPS Growth40.3%40.3%-96.0%136.0%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$18.81

Spread vs growth

45.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$22.76

Spread vs growth

39.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$36.66

Spread vs growth

35.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.8%

Total return

+0.8%

Start / end P/E

13.5x → 9.5x

EPS bridge

15.93 → 22.35

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growth+40.3%
Multiple rerating-29.7%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.