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6202.TW$57.70-0.69%
Fair $57.70+0.0%

6202.TW

Holtek Semiconductor Inc.

Technology / SemiconductorsTaiwan

$57.70

-0.40 (-0.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $57.70Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $193.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6202.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Holtek Semiconductor Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.3B

P/E

75.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

37.7x

↑

ROE

4.4%

↓

Gross Margin

38.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$58
$36$66

TradingView lightweight chart

6202.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $57.70Periodo +85.3%
Fair value: $57.70

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-20.2%

FCF CAGR

-16.3%

FCF margin

8.6%

FCF / Net income

1.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.06B · net income $173.3M · FCF $263.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.5%-12.8% pts

Operating margin

3.1%-20.0% pts

Net margin

5.7%-12.7% pts

FCF margin

8.6%+1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.06B$3.06B$2.50B$2.60B$6.02B
Net Income$173.3M$173.3M$-149.6M$111.7M$1.11B
EBITDA$331.3M$331.3M$-5.7M$239.5M$1.54B
EPS——-0.660.494.83
Gross Margin38.5%38.5%38.5%42.4%51.3%
Operating Margin3.1%3.1%-13.3%-6.7%23.1%
Net Margin5.7%5.7%-6.0%4.3%18.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.300.270.04
Current Ratio4.284.28———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$263.8M$263.8M$193.8M$-224.1M$449.4M
Returns
ROE4.4%4.4%-4.2%2.8%23.6%
Valuation
P/E75.9275.92—132.4514.45
EV/EBITDA37.6937.69—62.569.92
P/B3.393.392.963.643.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.2%22.2%-3.6%-56.8%—
EPS Growth——-234.7%-89.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.5%

Total return

+28.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.66 → n/d

Residual

+28.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.