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6209.T$3885.00+0.39%
Fair $3885.00+0.0%

6209.T

NPR-Riken Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsTokyo

$3885.00

+15.00 (+0.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3885.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $11.1B · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

8/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 2Warnings: 0unknown: 2
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Limited financial history; valuation confidence should be treated as provisional. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6209.TLocal privado en este navegador · NPR-Riken Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$104.5B

P/E

7.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.2x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

23.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$3885
$2289$4570

TradingView lightweight chart

6209.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,885Periodo +123.3%
Fair value: $3,885

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2024–2025 · 1 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.9%

FCF CAGR

-21.3%

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $170.34B · net income $8.76B · FCF $9.76B

2024-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.9%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

6.9%+0.6% pts

Net margin

5.1%-13.9% pts

FCF margin

5.7%-3.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
Income Statement
Revenue$170.34B$170.34B$138.59B
Net Income$8.76B$8.76B$26.32B
EBITDA$23.07B$23.07B$36.68B
EPS322.63322.631088.83
Gross Margin23.9%23.9%21.6%
Operating Margin6.9%6.9%6.3%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%19.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.14
Current Ratio2.932.93—
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$9.76B$9.76B$12.40B
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%18.7%
Valuation
P/E7.437.432.68
EV/EBITDA4.194.191.80
P/B0.730.730.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.9%22.9%—
EPS Growth-70.4%-70.4%—
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$344.73

Spread vs growth

-72.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$417.12

Spread vs growth

-75.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$671.78

Spread vs growth

-78.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +68.5%

Total return

+68.5%

Start / end P/E

2.2x → 12.0x

EPS bridge

1088.83 → 322.63

Residual

-317.0%

EPS growth-70.4%
Multiple rerating+450.4%
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-317.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.