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6222.T$927.00+0.43%
Fair $927.00+0.0%

6222.T

Shima Seiki Mfg.,Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$927.00

+4.00 (+0.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $927.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 1/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.9B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -18.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6222.TLocal privado en este navegador · Shima Seiki Mfg.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$31.4B

P/E

36.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-18.4%

↓

Gross Margin

26.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$927
$778$1160

TradingView lightweight chart

6222.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $927.00Periodo -55.9%
Fair value: $927.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-18.0%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $32.52B · net income $-14.28B · FCF $-5.87B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.5%-6.4% pts

Operating margin

-36.6%-22.9% pts

Net margin

-43.9%-32.3% pts

FCF margin

-18.0%-34.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$32.52B$32.52B$35.91B$37.89B$31.00B
Net Income$-14.28B$-14.28B$1.03B$-5.64B$-3.59B
EBITDA$-12.52B$-12.52B$2.36B$-3.21B$-1.52B
EPS-413.58-413.5829.84-163.54—
Gross Margin26.5%26.5%40.9%36.6%32.9%
Operating Margin-36.6%-36.6%1.2%-5.8%-13.8%
Net Margin-43.9%-43.9%2.9%-14.9%-11.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.040.030.03
Current Ratio5.015.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.87B$-5.87B$-4.83B$-8.18B$4.93B
Returns
ROE-18.4%-18.4%1.1%-6.6%-4.0%
Valuation
P/E36.7736.7744.47——
EV/EBITDA——14.83——
P/B0.410.410.500.720.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.4%-9.4%-5.2%22.2%—
EPS Growth-1486.0%-1486.0%118.2%——
Dividend Yield2.2%2.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.9%

Total return

+6.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

29.84 → -413.58

Residual

+4.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.