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6239.T$1302.00-0.99%
Fair $1302.00+0.0%

6239.T

Nagaoka International Corporation

Energy / Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingTokyo

$1302.00

-13.00 (-0.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1302.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $397.2M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 6239.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nagaoka International Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.1B

P/E

12.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

12.9%

↑

Gross Margin

41.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1302
$1270$1876

TradingView lightweight chart

6239.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,302Periodo +33.5%
Fair value: $1,302

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.1%

FCF CAGR

+78.3%

FCF margin

4.5%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.92B · net income $970.4M · FCF $397.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.2%+5.6% pts

Operating margin

17.0%+4.6% pts

Net margin

10.9%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

4.5%+3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.92B$8.92B$9.51B$8.15B$6.33B
Net Income$970.4M$970.4M$1.15B$867.4M$795.0M
EBITDA$1.68B$1.68B$2.01B$1.50B$1.46B
EPS138.90138.90166.61123.05112.78
Gross Margin41.2%41.2%39.3%35.4%35.6%
Operating Margin17.0%17.0%17.7%16.1%12.4%
Net Margin10.9%10.9%12.1%10.6%12.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.050.210.25
Current Ratio4.054.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$397.2M$397.2M$2.25B$332.3M$70.0M
Returns
ROE12.9%12.9%16.4%15.4%16.0%
Valuation
P/E12.0912.099.906.426.06
EV/EBITDA4.064.064.563.092.70
P/B1.211.211.630.990.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.2%-6.2%16.7%28.8%—
EPS Growth-16.6%-16.6%35.4%9.1%—
Dividend Yield2.7%2.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$115.53

Spread vs growth

-10.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$139.79

Spread vs growth

-16.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$225.14

Spread vs growth

-21.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.3%

Total return

-1.3%

Start / end P/E

8.1x → 9.4x

EPS bridge

166.61 → 138.90

Residual

-2.5%

EPS growth-16.6%
Multiple rerating+15.2%
Dividend+2.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.