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6246.T$1865.00-4.01%
Fair $1865.00+0.0%

6246.T

Techno Smart Corp.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$1865.00

-78.00 (-4.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1865.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-507.5M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6246.TLocal privado en este navegador · Techno Smart Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$21.4B

P/E

11.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

↓

ROE

12.2%

↑

Gross Margin

22.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$1865
$1565$2119

TradingView lightweight chart

6246.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,865Periodo +1160.1%
Fair value: $1,865

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.58B · net income $2.39B · FCF $-2.44B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.3%+7.8% pts

Operating margin

16.3%+6.6% pts

Net margin

11.1%+4.2% pts

FCF margin

-11.3%-15.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$21.58B$21.58B$19.24B$19.68B$16.94B
Net Income$2.39B$2.39B$1.80B$1.61B$1.16B
EBITDA$3.82B$3.82B$2.86B$2.46B$1.85B
EPS204.66204.66146.73130.7294.18
Gross Margin22.3%22.3%18.9%16.1%14.6%
Operating Margin16.3%16.3%13.5%11.3%9.7%
Net Margin11.1%11.1%9.4%8.2%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.10———
Current Ratio3.243.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.44B$-2.44B$1.24B$-507.5M$628.7M
Returns
ROE12.2%12.2%9.2%8.7%6.7%
Valuation
P/E11.9411.9412.9811.7713.04
EV/EBITDA4.424.424.793.792.41
P/B1.111.111.191.020.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.1%12.1%-2.2%16.2%—
EPS Growth39.5%39.5%12.2%38.8%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$165.49

Spread vs growth

46.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$200.24

Spread vs growth

39.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$322.49

Spread vs growth

34.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.6%

Total return

+23.6%

Start / end P/E

10.7x → 9.1x

EPS bridge

146.73 → 204.66

Residual

-5.8%

EPS growth+39.5%
Multiple rerating-14.8%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.