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6289.T$1750.00-2.16%
Fair $1750.00+0.0%

6289.T

Giken Ltd.

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryTokyo

$1750.00

-39.00 (-2.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1750.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $258.0M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6289.TLocal privado en este navegador · Giken Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$44.4B

P/E

26.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.0x

↑

ROE

3.7%

↓

Gross Margin

38.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1750
$1345$2570

TradingView lightweight chart

6289.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,764Periodo +404.0%
Fair value: $1,750

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.34B · net income $1.49B · FCF $-425.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.5%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

9.7%-5.4% pts

Net margin

5.6%-5.0% pts

FCF margin

-1.6%-14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.34B$26.34B$29.48B$29.27B$30.38B
Net Income$1.49B$1.49B$2.44B$846.0M$3.23B
EBITDA$3.25B$3.25B$4.36B$3.46B$6.81B
EPS55.7455.7490.9930.82117.62
Gross Margin38.5%38.5%36.9%36.6%38.6%
Operating Margin9.7%9.7%11.3%10.2%15.2%
Net Margin5.6%5.6%8.3%2.9%10.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.010.020.03
Current Ratio3.353.35———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-425.0M$-425.0M$1.90B$258.0M$4.05B
Returns
ROE3.7%3.7%6.0%2.1%7.9%
Valuation
P/E26.1726.1719.1765.5727.25
EV/EBITDA12.0212.028.4513.4011.25
P/B1.161.161.161.402.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.7%-10.7%0.7%-3.6%—
EPS Growth-38.7%-38.7%195.2%-73.8%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

40.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$155.28

Spread vs growth

-79.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

27.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$187.89

Spread vs growth

-66.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$302.60

Spread vs growth

-57.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.7%

Total return

+28.7%

Start / end P/E

15.4x → 31.6x

EPS bridge

90.99 → 55.74

Residual

-40.7%

EPS growth-38.7%
Multiple rerating+105.1%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-40.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.