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6306.T$842.00-0.24%
Fair $842.00+0.0%

6306.T

Nikko Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryTokyo

$842.00

-2.00 (-0.24%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $842.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $76.0M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6306.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nikko Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32.4B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.4x

↓

ROE

5.8%

↓

Gross Margin

28.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↓
52-Week Range$842
$669$886

TradingView lightweight chart

6306.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $842.00Periodo +242.3%
Fair value: $842.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

-47.6%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $49.16B · net income $2.01B · FCF $76.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.5%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

5.6%+0.3% pts

Net margin

4.1%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$49.16B$49.16B$44.10B$39.66B$38.85B
Net Income$2.01B$2.01B$1.31B$1.02B$1.65B
EBITDA$4.46B$4.46B$3.37B$2.76B$3.41B
EPS52.2952.2934.2526.67—
Gross Margin28.5%28.5%27.5%26.0%27.0%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%4.5%2.6%5.3%
Net Margin4.1%4.1%3.0%2.6%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.320.180.12
Current Ratio1.891.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$76.0M$76.0M$2.01B$-3.82B$527.0M
Returns
ROE5.8%5.8%4.0%3.2%5.2%
Valuation
P/E12.7912.7921.7523.32—
EV/EBITDA6.406.407.036.974.28
P/B0.940.940.860.750.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.5%11.5%11.2%2.1%—
EPS Growth52.7%52.7%28.4%——
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$74.71

Spread vs growth

40.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$90.40

Spread vs growth

41.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$145.60

Spread vs growth

41.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.4%

Total return

+29.4%

Start / end P/E

19.8x → 16.1x

EPS bridge

34.25 → 52.29

Residual

-9.8%

EPS growth+52.7%
Multiple rerating-18.5%
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.