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6371.T$2606.00-1.62%
Fair $2606.00+0.0%

6371.T

Tsubakimoto Chain Co.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$2606.00

-43.00 (-1.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2606.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $21.4B · quality 80.7/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 81/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6371.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tsubakimoto Chain Co.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$271.1B

P/E

8.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

↓

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

29.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$2606
$1736$2812

TradingView lightweight chart

6371.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,606Periodo +354.5%
Fair value: $2,606

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.0%

FCF CAGR

+0.5%

FCF margin

7.6%

FCF / Net income

0.96x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $279.19B · net income $22.12B · FCF $21.30B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.4%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

8.2%-0.1% pts

Net margin

7.9%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

7.6%-2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$279.19B$279.19B$266.81B$251.57B$215.88B
Net Income$22.12B$22.12B$18.55B$13.74B$14.54B
EBITDA$44.88B$44.88B$40.28B$32.33B$33.35B
EPS——170.55123.71130.96
Gross Margin29.4%29.4%29.1%28.3%29.1%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%8.0%7.5%8.3%
Net Margin7.9%7.9%7.0%5.5%6.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.120.160.19
Current Ratio2.962.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.30B$21.30B$38.58B$21.35B$21.00B
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%7.2%6.1%7.0%
Valuation
P/E8.818.819.738.517.41
EV/EBITDA5.135.133.332.962.93
P/B1.041.040.700.520.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.6%4.6%6.1%16.5%—
EPS Growth——37.9%-5.5%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.6%

Total return

+46.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

170.55 → n/d

Residual

+43.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+43.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.