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6382.T$1267.00-1.78%
Fair $1267.00+0.0%

6382.T

Trinity Industrial Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsTokyo

$1267.00

-23.00 (-1.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1267.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.7B · quality 52.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6382.TLocal privado en este navegador · Trinity Industrial Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$20.4B

P/E

7.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

7.5%

↑

Gross Margin

20.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1267
$985$1470

TradingView lightweight chart

6382.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,267Periodo +475.9%
Fair value: $1,267

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.6%

FCF / Net income

-2.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $40.22B · net income $2.40B · FCF $-7.06B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.5%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

8.1%+2.4% pts

Net margin

6.0%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

-17.6%-20.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$40.22B$40.22B$36.99B$29.05B$34.16B
Net Income$2.40B$2.40B$2.06B$1.27B$1.81B
EBITDA$4.56B$4.56B$4.51B$2.80B$3.48B
EPS149.22149.22128.0378.15110.41
Gross Margin20.5%20.5%20.5%19.2%18.8%
Operating Margin8.1%8.1%7.6%3.3%5.7%
Net Margin6.0%6.0%5.6%4.4%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.01
Current Ratio3.593.59———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7.06B$-7.06B$2.66B$2.94B$894.3M
Returns
ROE7.5%7.5%6.8%4.6%6.7%
Valuation
P/E7.607.609.378.576.39
EV/EBITDA2.462.460.54-1.31-0.02
P/B0.630.630.640.400.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.7%8.7%27.4%-15.0%—
EPS Growth16.6%16.6%63.8%-29.2%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$112.43

Spread vs growth

25.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$136.03

Spread vs growth

18.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$219.08

Spread vs growth

12.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +26.6%

Total return

+26.6%

Start / end P/E

8.1x → 8.5x

EPS bridge

128.03 → 149.22

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth+16.6%
Multiple rerating+4.5%
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.