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6390.T$1189.00-1.33%
Fair $1189.00+0.0%

6390.T

Kato Works Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryTokyo

$1189.00

-16.00 (-1.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1189.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 0/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.5B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -13.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6390.TLocal privado en este navegador · Kato Works Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.3B

P/E

3.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-13.5%

↓

Gross Margin

16.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.98

↑
52-Week Range$1189
$1181$1783

TradingView lightweight chart

6390.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,189Periodo +78.8%
Fair value: $1,189

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-27.6%

FCF / Net income

2.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $52.93B · net income $-6.03B · FCF $-14.60B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.2%+5.8% pts

Operating margin

1.7%+13.1% pts

Net margin

-11.4%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

-27.6%-40.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$52.93B$52.93B$57.50B$57.53B$63.55B
Net Income$-6.03B$-6.03B$4.24B$2.40B$-9.57B
EBITDA$-3.76B$-3.76B$4.88B$4.37B$-6.76B
EPS-514.48-514.48361.49205.09—
Gross Margin16.2%16.2%18.3%15.8%10.4%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%2.9%2.2%-11.4%
Net Margin-11.4%-11.4%7.4%4.2%-15.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.980.980.710.730.90
Current Ratio1.951.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-14.60B$-14.60B$-1.55B$6.27B$8.31B
Returns
ROE-13.5%-13.5%8.4%5.3%-22.2%
Valuation
P/E2.982.984.055.32—
EV/EBITDA——6.215.95—
P/B0.310.310.340.280.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.9%-7.9%-0.1%-9.5%—
EPS Growth-242.3%-242.3%76.3%——
Dividend Yield5.8%5.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.0%

Total return

-0.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

361.49 → -514.48

Residual

-5.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.