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6418.T$934.00-1.54%
Fair $934.00+0.0%

6418.T

Japan Cash Machine Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Business Equipment & SuppliesTokyo

$934.00

-15.00 (-1.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $934.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 52/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.4B · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

52/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 6418.TLocal privado en este navegador · Japan Cash Machine Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$25.3B

P/E

5.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

11.9%

↑

Gross Margin

40.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$934
$890$1260

TradingView lightweight chart

6418.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $962.00Periodo +16.3%
Fair value: $934.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.6%

FCF CAGR

+88.1%

FCF margin

19.0%

FCF / Net income

1.88x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $37.82B · net income $3.81B · FCF $7.18B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.6%+2.7% pts

Operating margin

13.0%+10.1% pts

Net margin

10.1%+7.1% pts

FCF margin

19.0%+13.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$37.82B$37.82B$31.61B$25.26B$20.04B
Net Income$3.81B$3.81B$3.28B$3.15B$605.4M
EBITDA$5.42B$5.42B$4.05B$3.12B$1.61B
EPS140.98140.98112.59106.2420.41
Gross Margin40.6%40.6%38.6%35.6%37.9%
Operating Margin13.0%13.0%9.0%2.5%2.8%
Net Margin10.1%10.1%10.4%12.5%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.390.160.22
Current Ratio5.745.74———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$7.18B$7.18B$-5.85B$-1.38B$1.08B
Returns
ROE11.9%11.9%11.5%11.6%2.6%
Valuation
P/E5.425.4211.2210.8833.51
EV/EBITDA3.463.468.738.146.89
P/B0.790.791.281.260.88
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.6%19.6%25.1%26.0%—
EPS Growth25.2%25.2%6.0%420.5%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-16.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$82.88

Spread vs growth

41.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$100.28

Spread vs growth

31.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$161.50

Spread vs growth

23.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.2%

Total return

+5.2%

Start / end P/E

8.5x → 6.8x

EPS bridge

112.59 → 140.98

Residual

-5.0%

EPS growth+25.2%
Multiple rerating-19.8%
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.