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6419.T$2978.00-0.53%
Fair $2978.00+0.0%

6419.T

Mars Group Holdings Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureTokyo

$2978.00

-16.00 (-0.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2978.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 66/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.1B · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

66/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 6419.TLocal privado en este navegador · Mars Group Holdings Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$54.9B

P/E

8.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.4x

↓

ROE

11.1%

↑

Gross Margin

49.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$2978
$2771$3340

TradingView lightweight chart

6419.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,978Periodo +82.1%
Fair value: $2,978

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+40.9%

FCF CAGR

+83.4%

FCF margin

23.2%

FCF / Net income

1.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $42.25B · net income $8.72B · FCF $9.81B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.3%-6.7% pts

Operating margin

29.2%+18.7% pts

Net margin

20.6%+8.3% pts

FCF margin

23.2%+12.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$42.25B$42.25B$36.58B$20.35B$15.10B
Net Income$8.72B$8.72B$8.59B$3.14B$1.86B
EBITDA$13.04B$13.04B$12.31B$4.70B$2.12B
EPS475.74475.74499.89190.17110.23
Gross Margin49.3%49.3%54.2%55.2%56.0%
Operating Margin29.2%29.2%32.0%20.3%10.5%
Net Margin20.6%20.6%23.5%15.5%12.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.01
Current Ratio11.9911.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$9.81B$9.81B$5.11B$-839.2M$1.59B
Returns
ROE11.1%11.1%12.0%5.6%3.4%
Valuation
P/E8.278.276.1715.5815.32
EV/EBITDA1.441.441.965.711.53
P/B0.700.700.740.870.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.5%15.5%79.8%34.7%—
EPS Growth-4.8%-4.8%162.9%72.5%—
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-17.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$264.25

Spread vs growth

13.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$319.74

Spread vs growth

2.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$514.94

Spread vs growth

-5.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.2%

Total return

+9.2%

Start / end P/E

5.7x → 6.3x

EPS bridge

499.89 → 475.74

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth-4.8%
Multiple rerating+9.5%
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.