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6425.T$690.00-2.86%
Fair $690.00+0.0%

6425.T

Universal Entertainment Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureTokyo

$690.00

-21.00 (-2.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $690.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 9/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.8B · quality 31.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

9/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 6425.TLocal privado en este navegador · Universal Entertainment Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$53.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-178.4%

↓

Gross Margin

58.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.50

↑
52-Week Range$690
$656$1127

TradingView lightweight chart

6425.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $714.00Periodo -90.1%
Fair value: $690.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.5%

FCF CAGR

-52.2%

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $122.83B · net income $-231.43B · FCF $1.80B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.6%+3.0% pts

Operating margin

-2.6%-11.2% pts

Net margin

-188.4%-196.6% pts

FCF margin

1.5%-10.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$122.83B$122.83B$126.33B$179.00B$141.00B
Net Income$-231.43B$-231.43B$-15.57B$28.44B$11.51B
EBITDA$-206.85B$-206.85B$30.63B$71.25B$41.23B
EPS-2986.48-2986.48-200.92367.00148.49
Gross Margin58.6%58.6%59.5%55.5%55.6%
Operating Margin-2.6%-2.6%2.4%17.0%8.6%
Net Margin-188.4%-188.4%-12.3%15.9%8.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.501.500.510.450.50
Current Ratio1.241.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.80B$1.80B$-7.51B$16.28B$16.43B
Returns
ROE-178.4%-178.4%-4.2%7.3%3.3%
Valuation
P/E———6.2815.78
EV/EBITDA——7.964.347.74
P/B0.410.410.220.460.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.8%-2.8%-29.4%26.9%—
EPS Growth-1386.4%-1386.4%-154.7%147.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -34.3%

Total return

-34.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-200.92 → -2986.48

Residual

-34.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.